- Issue Time
When will the 2020 global epidemic end? When will it last?
At present, the New Coronary Pneumonia virus is outbreak in the world, the more serious areas are the United States, Spain, Italy, Iran and so on. With the advent of the epidemic, it caused a large part of the loss. So, when will the 2020 global epidemic end? When will it last?
1. When will the 2020 global epidemic end?
SARS broke out in December 2002 and ended in July 2003, which lasted 8 months. This outbreak is almost the same month as SARS. Although the mortality rate is low, it is more infectious and the number of patients is greater, and the duration may be much longer than 8 months.
In SARS in 2003, the number of diagnosed people in China was 5,327, and the number of deaths was 349. The number of diagnosed people in the world was 8,096 and 774 people died. The epidemic is mainly concentrated in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, and other countries with very few diseases, and no global outbreaks. But at present, in March 2020, 84,180 people of New Coronavirus China were diagnosed and 4,642 people died. The number of diagnosed people in the world exceeded 2 million, and they spread globally.
From this perspective, the global epidemic will not end until at least July 2020, and many should end in October 2020.
2. When will the global epidemic continue?
It is estimated that the development of the global epidemic will continue at least until June. The focus of the prevention and control of the new crown virus will shift from output to input.